Nürnberg vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
ING
1 - 2
FCN
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
EBT
6 - 1
FCN
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
VIK
1 - 1
FCN
12%
18%
70%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 1
HEI
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SGD
1 - 1
FCN
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KSC
0 - 0
MUN
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 1
KSC
34%
26%
39%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
ARB
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SGF
1 - 0
MUN
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SCF
0 - 0
MUN
66%
20%
13%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |