Nürnberg vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
ROS
0 - 0
FCN
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 0
OSN
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SGF
1 - 1
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FCN
1 - 0
ING
70%
21%
10%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FSV
2 - 1
FCN
22%
26%
51%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
MUN
1 - 1
AAA
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
WEH
0 - 0
MUN
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
MUN
3 - 3
ROS
37%
26%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
AUG
3 - 0
MUN
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
1 - 1
MUN
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |