Nürnberg vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
RVO
0 - 2
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
FCN
2 - 1
HOM
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
STU
4 - 0
FCN
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1976 |
FCN
2 - 4
AUG
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
WAL
1 - 2
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
MUN
2 - 2
BAY
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
MUN
4 - 0
OFC
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
RVO
1 - 2
MUN
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1976 |
MUN
1 - 0
HOM
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
STU
3 - 2
MUN
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |