Nürnberg vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
WAL
2 - 0
FCN
23%
22%
55%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
FCN
2 - 1
SCH
80%
12%
7%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
SVS
3 - 1
FCN
38%
23%
39%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
FCN
3 - 0
AUG
85%
10%
5%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
FSV
1 - 0
FCN
19%
22%
59%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
MUN
6 - 0
FSV
64%
19%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
BYM
1 - 0
MUN
64%
19%
17%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
VFM
1 - 1
MUN
32%
22%
46%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
MUN
3 - 1
VFR
63%
19%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
AUG
1 - 4
MUN
36%
23%
42%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |