Nürnberg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
RTV
2 - 0
FCN
52%
24%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
LEV
1 - 1
FCN
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
FCN
2 - 0
ARB
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
S04
1 - 1
FCN
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
FCN
2 - 1
F95
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
KOL
1 - 0
BVB
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
S04
1 - 2
KOL
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
KOL
1 - 2
F95
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
BVB
2 - 2
KOL
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
KOL
0 - 3
BYM
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |