1. FC Nürnberg Sub 17 vs Greuther Fürth Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
14º
9º
12
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Nürnberg Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SJR
2 - 2
FCN
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FCN
2 - 1
EIF
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
KSC
1 - 2
FCN
35%
25%
41%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
AUG
40%
23%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 4
FCN
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GRF
0 - 1
KSC
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AUG
4 - 6
GRF
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
GRF
2 - 1
FCS
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FAW
1 - 4
GRF
53%
21%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GRF
1 - 2
M05
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |