1. FC Nürnberg U17 vs Bayern München U17 analysis

1. FC Nürnberg U17 Bayern München U17
33 ELO 26
0.4% Tilt 1.9%
9159º General ELO ranking 7536º
406º Country ELO ranking 296º
ELO win probability
63.5%
1. FC Nürnberg U17
19.9%
Draw
16.6%
Bayern München U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1. FC Nürnberg U17
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.6%
Win probability
Bayern München U17
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Nürnberg U17
-14%
+23%
Bayern München U17

ELO progression

1. FC Nürnberg U17
Bayern München U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Nürnberg U17
1. FC Nürnberg U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2013
HOF
Hoffenheim U17
1 - 0
1. FC Nürnberg U17
FCN
26%
24%
51%
35 24 11 0
01 Dec. 2012
KSC
Karlsruher SC U17
1 - 2
1. FC Nürnberg U17
FCN
18%
22%
60%
35 20 15 0
24 Nov. 2012
FCN
1. FC Nürnberg U17
3 - 0
TSV 1860 München U17
MUN
62%
21%
18%
34 28 6 +1
18 Nov. 2012
SCF
SC Freiburg U17
0 - 0
1. FC Nürnberg U17
FCN
42%
24%
35%
34 31 3 0
10 Nov. 2012
SJR
SSV Jahn Regensburg U17
0 - 3
1. FC Nürnberg U17
FCN
12%
18%
70%
34 14 20 0

Matches

Bayern München U17
Bayern München U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2013
BMC
Bayern München U17
1 - 0
Waldhof Mannheim U17
MAN
82%
12%
7%
25 15 10 0
16 Feb. 2013
BMC
Bayern München U17
4 - 0
Hoffenheim U17
HOF
47%
23%
29%
24 26 2 +1
16 Dec. 2012
BMC
Bayern München U17
1 - 4
Mainz 05 U17
M05
47%
23%
30%
25 26 1 -1
24 Nov. 2012
BMC
Bayern München U17
2 - 3
Karlsruher SC U17
KSC
71%
17%
12%
25 20 5 0
17 Nov. 2012
HOF
Hoffenheim U17
2 - 2
Bayern München U17
BMC
48%
23%
29%
25 25 0 0
X