Niva Dolbizno vs Ostrovets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
39.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
10º
15º
11º
39
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niva Dolbizno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MKK
6 - 3
FCN
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 0
FCS
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 2
FCN
40%
23%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 1
GOM
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
4 - 1
FCN
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
OFC
0 - 3
ZHY
65%
18%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 0
OFC
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OFC
1 - 4
VOL
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FBG
0 - 7
OFC
24%
21%
54%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OFC
4 - 4
ORS
69%
17%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |