Niva Dolbizno vs Molodechno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
10º
4º
63
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 77 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 73 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 69 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
5º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 59 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 52 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 51 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 50 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 47 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 46 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 35 |
12º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 34 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 25 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 23 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 22 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
25% | 92% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niva Dolbizno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
FCN
19%
20%
61%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 1
MKK
36%
24%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ZOR
0 - 4
FCN
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 1
FCN
41%
23%
37%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
POL
0 - 14
FCN
9%
12%
79%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Molodechno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MOL
3 - 0
VOL
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 2
TOR
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
TZH
0 - 2
MOL
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MOL
5 - 0
BEL
47%
23%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FBG
2 - 1
MOL
32%
23%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |