Neftchi vs Aldier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 4
FKA
31%
25%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NEF
0 - 0
DBI
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 0
ALG
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 1
ALD
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 1
NEF
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aldier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
FTS
4 - 0
ALD
65%
19%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 0
ALD
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALD
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
ALD
2 - 3
FKA
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 1
ALD
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |