Neftchi vs Aldier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 1
NEF
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
NEF
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KBA
1 - 0
NEF
11%
19%
70%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
NEF
3 - 2
FTS
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
NEF
0 - 1
TAL
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aldier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
ALD
0 - 2
FKA
16%
18%
67%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
ALD
1 - 2
TAL
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ALD
2 - 1
FTS
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
DBI
4 - 0
ALD
82%
12%
7%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
ALG
4 - 2
ALD
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |