Neftchi vs Ilbirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 1
NEF
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 0
FTS
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
NUB
3 - 1
NEF
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 1
DBI
36%
25%
40%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
NEF
4 - 2
KBA
79%
15%
6%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
FTS
0 - 2
DBI
24%
22%
53%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 0
FTS
55%
24%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
FTS
0 - 0
FKA
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
4 - 2
FTS
66%
20%
14%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
FTS
2 - 0
TAL
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |