Neftchi vs Talant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 1
FKA
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 3
FTS
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
ALD
2 - 1
NEF
14%
19%
67%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KBA
0 - 0
NEF
9%
17%
75%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 1
NEF
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Talant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 3
FKA
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FTS
2 - 1
TAL
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 0
ALD
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
KBA
0 - 1
TAL
13%
18%
69%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 0
ALG
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |