Mutschellen vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
76%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
11º
14º
15º
51
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutschellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCU
5 - 0
MUT
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MUT
1 - 4
FCW
19%
20%
62%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MUT
3 - 4
SCH
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MUT
3 - 3
FCS
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 0
MUT
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 1
REG
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DIE
3 - 1
OLD
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OLD
4 - 1
PRA
77%
13%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
OLD
4 - 2
LER
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MUT
2 - 5
OLD
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |