Mutschellen vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
76%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
11º
14º
15º
51
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutschellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCU
5 - 0
MUT
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MUT
1 - 4
FCW
19%
20%
62%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MUT
3 - 4
SCH
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MUT
3 - 3
FCS
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 0
MUT
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 1
REG
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DIE
3 - 1
OLD
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OLD
4 - 1
PRA
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
OLD
4 - 2
LER
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MUT
2 - 5
OLD
29%
21%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |