FC Muri vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
FCM
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 0
LUZ
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
HER
1 - 3
FCM
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 3
FCM
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FCM
1 - 2
EMM
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LSS
4 - 2
AAR
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AAR
3 - 1
SAR
67%
19%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 3
AAR
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
AAR
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
4 - 2
FCS
61%
21%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |