Muri-Gümligen vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
50.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
9º
4º
56
3º
16º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muri-Gümligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
DOR
5 - 4
GUM
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 0
GUM
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GUM
5 - 0
FCA
55%
21%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BIN
0 - 3
GUM
46%
23%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GUM
1 - 1
FCU
65%
19%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
OLD
3 - 2
FCA
76%
13%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 4
OLD
27%
21%
52%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
OLD
5 - 3
FCU
77%
13%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 3
OLD
17%
18%
66%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OLD
5 - 1
TAV
78%
14%
9%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |