Muri-Gümligen vs La Tour / Le Pâquier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
14º
7º
37
3º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muri-Gümligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
GUM
3 - 3
FCE
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
GUM
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GUM
1 - 2
FAR
48%
21%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GUM
2 - 2
FCP
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 3
GUM
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
La Tour / Le Pâquier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TPA
2 - 6
LAU
14%
17%
69%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
7 - 3
TPA
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TPA
4 - 1
FCS
68%
16%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 2
TPA
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TPA
2 - 3
FCC
31%
21%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |