Muri-Gümligen vs FC Courtetelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
42.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
14º
7º
63
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muri-Gümligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 2
GUM
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GUM
2 - 0
ROM
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BBB
5 - 1
GUM
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GUM
2 - 2
FCA
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
GUM
2 - 2
FCP
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Courtetelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCC
53%
21%
27%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 2
FCC
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 0
FCE
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 2
FCC
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 3
BUB
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |