Muri-Gümligen vs Dornach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
38%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
9º
4º
46
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muri-Gümligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GUM
3 - 0
PRA
62%
19%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
GUM
41%
24%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GUM
1 - 0
BIN
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 0
GUM
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -3 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
GUM
1 - 0
FCE
55%
21%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
6 - 0
FCA
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BIN
1 - 1
DOR
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
4 - 0
FCU
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 3
DOR
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
4 - 1
TAV
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |