Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-9
FC Municipal Bacău vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Municipal Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
FCM
2 - 1
UTA
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1970 |
FCM
2 - 0
KIL
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1969 |
KIL
1 - 1
FCM
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
FCM
3 - 1
RAP
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
STB
8 - 0
FCM
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
DER
3 - 2
ARS
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 1
ARS
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
EVE
2 - 2
ARS
68%
21%
11%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1970 |
ARS
0 - 0
STO
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |