Motown vs Penn FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
49.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
FCM
2 - 1
NEW
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 0
FCM
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
NJC
1 - 2
FCM
17%
19%
64%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 1
PNN
24%
25%
52%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
PNN
0 - 1
OTT
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
PNN
3 - 0
TAM
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
PNN
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
PNN
0 - 0
NSC
25%
28%
47%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |