FC Montreal vs Wilmington Hammerheads analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Montreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 4
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MON
3 - 2
PHU
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 3
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
MON
4 - 1
PIT
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +3 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
RIC
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 2
ROC
28%
29%
43%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
PIT
4 - 1
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
CHA
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 0
WIL
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |