FC Montreal vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Montreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
WIL
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 4
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MON
3 - 2
PHU
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 3
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +3 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
MON
4 - 1
PIT
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 0
PHU
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NYO
1 - 0
LOU
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
ROC
53%
27%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
PNN
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PIT
1 - 2
LOU
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |