FC Monthey vs La Chaux-de-Fonds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
15º
12º
7
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 67 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 58 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 55 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 43 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
41.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 21 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 16 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Monthey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 0
POR
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 2
YVE
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 1
ECH
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SER
3 - 1
FCM
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
SEC
5 - 1
FCM
27%
21%
52%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
La Chaux-de-Fonds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
LAC
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LAC
0 - 3
LAN
8%
15%
77%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 0
LAC
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LAC
2 - 1
STA
13%
20%
67%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +4 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LAC
0 - 2
FCP
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -2 |