FC Monthey vs Grand-Saconnex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
13.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
4º
2º
33
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
87.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Monthey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SEC
0 - 2
FCM
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BUL
2 - 3
FCM
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 1
CSC
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SEC
5 - 2
FCM
35%
22%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 1
THU
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Grand-Saconnex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 1
CON
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
COL
3 - 0
GRA
32%
22%
47%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 8
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
YVE
1 - 2
GRA
31%
22%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 2
ECH
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |