FC Monthey vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
79.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Monthey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 1
ECH
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 1
FCM
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 1
NAT
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MEY
3 - 0
FCM
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 1
CSC
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
WIL
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
ETO
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 3
ETO
12%
17%
71%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 2
THU
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
ETO
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |