Minai vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
73%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
14º
16º
15º
71
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
ZOR
11%
20%
69%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
MIN
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
SKD
12%
21%
68%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 3
LNZ
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
DYN
4 - 1
MIN
78%
16%
6%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 2
SHA
13%
19%
68%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HKR
3 - 3
SHA
13%
19%
69%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
PFC
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TOT
5 - 1
SHA
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
SHA
12%
19%
70%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |