FC Metropool vs Ararat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Metropool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FCM
5 - 1
SJK
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FCM
4 - 0
TKA
38%
22%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
NOM
2 - 7
FCM
66%
16%
18%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
FCM
3 - 1
RVA
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
FCM
9 - 0
HAI
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
TJK
1 - 3
FCA
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
FCA
3 - 0
FLO
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
MAA
2 - 1
FCA
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
FCA
5 - 0
TUF
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 3
TIN
20%
22%
59%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |