Métropole Troyenne vs Sarre-Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
60.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
13º
14º
14º
35
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Métropole Troyenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
REI
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
THL
3 - 0
MET
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 0
MET
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MET
0 - 3
REI
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 2
MET
66%
17%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 3
OBE
68%
18%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
REI
3 - 1
SAR
58%
21%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
4 - 2
RAO
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
SAR
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
BEL
40%
24%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |