Métropole Troyenne vs Raon-l'Etape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
13º
14º
14º
32
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 73.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Métropole Troyenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MET
4 - 0
MET
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
BEL
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
6 - 4
MET
75%
14%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 2
THL
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 0
MET
53%
21%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAO
1 - 0
OBE
84%
11%
6%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REI
4 - 3
RAO
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
REI
1 - 0
RAO
37%
22%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RAO
2 - 2
MET
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 2
RAO
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |