Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Mahlsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
14º
18º
14º
46
7º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mecklenburg Schwerin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NEU
4 - 1
FMS
82%
13%
6%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
FMS
0 - 3
UNI
7%
14%
79%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HZE
4 - 1
FMS
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FMS
0 - 2
MSV
13%
18%
69%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
6 - 1
FMS
86%
10%
5%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mahlsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAH
2 - 5
HAN
18%
18%
65%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAH
3 - 0
BWB
33%
23%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NEU
1 - 1
MAH
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MAH
1 - 1
UNI
29%
21%
50%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
HZE
2 - 0
MAH
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |