FC Martigues vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
9º
17º
17º
9
7º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 61 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 52 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 48 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 48 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 45 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
5.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 43 |
14º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 40 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 35 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
|
17º
|
3 | 35 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 33 |
18º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
34.5% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Martigues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 4
GRE
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
3 - 0
FCM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 1
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ANN
2 - 4
FCM
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 1
LOR
26%
26%
49%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
PAU
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CLE
0 - 1
DUN
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
ROD
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 2
DUN
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
ANN
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |