Marmande 47 vs Aviron Bayonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marmande 47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LRO
3 - 1
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
ANG
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 1
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
STA
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 1
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BAY
1 - 1
COZ
67%
19%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GDB
2 - 0
BAY
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BAY
0 - 1
NIO
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BAY
0 - 1
LIM
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LRO
0 - 0
BAY
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |