FC Marco vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
AVE
1 - 0
FCM
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
FCM
1 - 1
ALV
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 1
FCM
62%
20%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CHA
4 - 1
FCM
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
FCM
1 - 1
FAR
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 2
RIO
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
VST
3 - 0
SPC
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 0
SPC
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 3
UNM
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
AVE
3 - 0
SPC
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |