FC Marco vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 1
FCM
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
FCM
0 - 0
SPC
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
AVE
1 - 0
FCM
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
FCM
1 - 1
ALV
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 1
FCM
62%
20%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
RIO
3 - 1
UNM
64%
21%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
RIO
2 - 0
OVA
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 2
RIO
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
RIO
3 - 0
AVE
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ALV
0 - 0
RIO
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |