FC Marco vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 2
FCM
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FCM
1 - 1
SAL
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
FEL
3 - 0
FCM
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FCM
2 - 3
EST
30%
26%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 3
FCM
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 2
OVA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LEX
0 - 1
NAV
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 2
UNM
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 0
NAV
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 1
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |