FC Marco vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
POR
1 - 2
FCM
40%
26%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
FCM
1 - 1
MAI
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
LEX
0 - 0
FCM
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
VAR
1 - 1
FCM
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
FCM
0 - 1
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
EST
0 - 0
BEL
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
FEL
2 - 1
EST
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
EST
3 - 0
ALV
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ESP
2 - 2
EST
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |