FC Marco vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
FCM
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FCM
1 - 1
PAÇ
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
FEI
2 - 2
FCM
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FCM
0 - 0
NAV
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
EST
6 - 2
FCM
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FEL
2 - 3
AVE
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
AVE
0 - 2
ALV
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
AVE
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
GON
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |