FC Malcantone vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Malcantone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FCV
2 - 1
MAL
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
LAC
0 - 1
MAL
35%
26%
40%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 2
MAL
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
MAL
2 - 1
SIO
26%
25%
50%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
MAL
1 - 0
BAD
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
FCL
1 - 3
WIN
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
FCL
2 - 2
WOH
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
WOH
2 - 1
FCL
30%
24%
45%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
YVE
5 - 1
FCL
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
FCL
1 - 1
YVE
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |