FC Maia vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Maia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
LEC
0 - 0
MAI
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
MAI
0 - 0
FCM
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
RIO
4 - 0
MAI
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
MAI
1 - 1
OVA
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 1
MAI
30%
26%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
PEN
0 - 1
FEL
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
POR
4 - 0
PEN
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
PEN
1 - 3
UNM
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 2
LEC
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
FCM
2 - 1
PEN
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |