FC Maia vs Ovarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Maia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 1
MAI
30%
26%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
MAI
1 - 3
AVE
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ALV
5 - 3
MAI
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MAI
3 - 0
NAV
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CHA
3 - 1
MAI
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
OVA
4 - 1
FEL
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
POR
3 - 2
OVA
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 2
PEN
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
LEC
2 - 2
OVA
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 1
FCM
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |