FC Maia vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Maia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 0
MAI
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MAI
3 - 2
SAL
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
FEL
2 - 3
MAI
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
MAI
2 - 2
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 2
MAI
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
NAV
0 - 1
VST
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FCM
4 - 2
NAV
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 2
OVA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LEX
0 - 1
NAV
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 2
UNM
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |