FC Maia vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Maia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CHA
3 - 1
MAI
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
MAI
2 - 0
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
SAL
1 - 0
MAI
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
MAI
4 - 1
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 1
MAI
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 0
FEL
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
NAV
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 1
PEN
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 1
NAV
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAV
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |