FC Maia vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Maia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
SAL
1 - 0
MAI
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
MAI
4 - 1
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 1
MAI
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
MAI
1 - 0
UNM
71%
18%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
FEL
0 - 0
MAI
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
FAR
0 - 1
FEL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
POR
1 - 2
FAR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 0
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
FAR
2 - 1
LEC
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
FCM
1 - 1
FAR
50%
24%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |