FC Lyon vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
84.7%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
12%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.8%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.1%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.4%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
AJA
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 0
CON
8%
16%
76%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
AUB
0 - 3
CON
18%
21%
60%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CON
4 - 2
FUR
77%
15%
9%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CAN
3 - 0
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |