Lyn 1896 FK vs Raufoss IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
16º
4º
35
4º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 49 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 43 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 36 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 34 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 32 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 21 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
73.5% | 60.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 36% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SOG
0 - 1
LYN
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LYN
0 - 0
ELP
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VIF
4 - 2
LYN
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LYN
2 - 2
IKS
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
LYN
43%
24%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Raufoss IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 1
RAU
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
STB
1 - 2
RAU
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
RAU
4 - 1
SOG
41%
25%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
IKS
1 - 2
RAU
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
RAU
4 - 1
EGE
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |