Lyn 1896 FK vs Mjøndalen IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
15%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
16º
4º
22
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 56 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 50 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 49 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 44 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 43 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 37 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 35 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 32 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
82% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
77% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
13.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
RAU
1 - 0
LYN
33%
24%
43%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
LYN
5 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
STB
2 - 2
LYN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LYN
3 - 1
LEV
35%
25%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
EGE
1 - 1
LYN
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mjøndalen IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 2
MOS
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
KON
3 - 2
MJO
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 1
ASA
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BRY
1 - 0
MJO
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 1
ELP
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |