Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Lyn 1896 FK vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
NOR
3 - 2
LYN
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1968 |
LYN
2 - 0
NOR
59%
19%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
LYN
1 - 6
STR
76%
13%
11%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
SAR
0 - 4
LYN
18%
21%
61%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1968 |
LYN
2 - 0
VIF
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
PON
0 - 1
FCB
27%
31%
42%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
FCB
1 - 2
UDL
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
FCB
4 - 1
ATM
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
RSO
2 - 1
FCB
31%
30%
39%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
VCF
0 - 0
FCB
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |