FC Luzern U15 vs FC Aarau U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.1%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.8%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.8%
1.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+705%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
4º
6
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Luzern U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZOB
1 - 5
LUZ
5%
11%
84%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
7 - 4
FCZ
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
KRI
3 - 0
LUZ
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
5 - 4
LUZ
39%
22%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
6 - 5
CON
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Aarau U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 7
WIN
6%
12%
82%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
4 - 1
FCA
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 3
TTI
10%
15%
76%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GCZ
3 - 1
FCA
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 3
STG
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | -1 |