Lutry vs Vernier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STA
2 - 0
FCL
73%
16%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 0
USC
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SBC
2 - 2
FCL
57%
21%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 2
CSC
55%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 3
FCL
11%
19%
71%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vernier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VER
3 - 1
SER
13%
19%
69%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
VER
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
SIE
17%
20%
64%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
USC
0 - 0
VER
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VER
1 - 2
FCR
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |